Indonesia’s E-grocery Industry Poised to Hit USD 6B GMV by 2025

JAKARTA, INDONESIA – Media OutReach – 16 February
2021 – According
to L.E.K. Consulting’s latest insights, Indonesia’s
e-groceries market is nearing a turning point in drivers of penetration. In the
broader Asian context, operators in the space have enjoyed success in markets
like China and South Korea.

COVID-19
is likely the catalyst that leads to a step-change in Indonesia’s e-grocery
penetration that could be worth USD 5B-6B Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) by
2025, with possible upside risk. Against the backdrop of developing trends in
the market, the pandemic likely propelled adoption of online groceries by 2-3x
in 2020. With ~65% of the population lying below the age of 44 years and an
urban population demonstrating an impulsive buying behaviour, favourable
customer demographics is a key contributor to the success of e-groceries
penetration. The report further delves into customer demographics, explaining
that ~65% of buyers opt for convenience — a salient feature of e-groceries.
Digital enablement is also an underlying driver for its growth as 96% of the
population has a mobile phone and 76% can access the internet.

“As
observed in other Asian markets like China and South Korea, younger shoppers
are more likely to make online purchases and with improving internet access and
digital enablement, this savvy consumer type, has bolstered demand for online groceries.
These markets have reached critical mass of 5% penetration or more. With
similar trends observed in the dynamic Indonesian economy, the e-grocery market
is poised to grow further accelerated by the pandemic” explained Manas Tamotia,
head of the technology practice at L.E.K. Consulting’s Southeast Asia office.

Moreover,
e-commerce penetration in Indonesia hit 6% in 2019, as compared to less than 1%
in 2014. On the supply-side, a range of players and models have emerged to meet
consumers’ needs. Across the offline-to-online model, online market model and
aggregator model, prominent names like Carrefour, Alfaonline.com, happyfresh
and more have stimulated demand.

A
global consultancy firm, L.E.K.’s research points out that modern retailing
is nascent in Indonesia relative to other markets, nonetheless, it is a USD
~20B industry with USD ~9B spent in hyper- and supermarkets. As COVID-19
catapults global sectors into the digital era, it is highly likely that
e-groceries take up more share in the market in the coming years, given the higher
prevalence of technology and e-commerce adoption today.

Click here for the
full report.